A post for the geeks like me. Following are the odds of going 12-0 by multiplying out the risk of each game per Massey.com's computer simulations of all remaining games. I threw in a few 1 loss contenders and their chances of going 11-1 for consideration as well.
Undefeated teams chance of 12-0:
Clemson 28.8% (down from from 31.1% last week, though we beat BC, due to Miami and FSU and others strengthening ratings)
Ohio State 32.9%
Baylor 21.1%
Iowa 34% (ridiculously weak B10 schedule)
Utah 20.1%
Mich St 11.7%
TCU 10.8%
FSU 6.8%
LSU 5.8%
Okla St 1.5%
Chances of 11-1 for some 1 loss contenders:
Alabama 40.2%
Florida 25.1%
Stanford 19.3%
ND 19%
TAMU 10%
Okla 5.5%
If you study the future schedule and most likely matchup possibilities for conference champ games and put a gun to my head, my best CFP prediction today:
1) Ohio St
2) Clemson
3) Alabama
4) Baylor
PAC 12 is the most likely jilted conference.
Undefeated teams chance of 12-0:
Clemson 28.8% (down from from 31.1% last week, though we beat BC, due to Miami and FSU and others strengthening ratings)
Ohio State 32.9%
Baylor 21.1%
Iowa 34% (ridiculously weak B10 schedule)
Utah 20.1%
Mich St 11.7%
TCU 10.8%
FSU 6.8%
LSU 5.8%
Okla St 1.5%
Chances of 11-1 for some 1 loss contenders:
Alabama 40.2%
Florida 25.1%
Stanford 19.3%
ND 19%
TAMU 10%
Okla 5.5%
If you study the future schedule and most likely matchup possibilities for conference champ games and put a gun to my head, my best CFP prediction today:
1) Ohio St
2) Clemson
3) Alabama
4) Baylor
PAC 12 is the most likely jilted conference.
