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Cost of Democratic spending bill would double if temporary provisions extended, budget watchdog says

TigerGrowls

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Everyone hitch your britches. This ride is going to get a lot worse before it gets better.


by Zachary Halaschak, Economics Reporter |

| November 15, 2021 12:54 PM

President Joe Biden’s climate and social spending bill would cost nearly $5 trillion if several temporary provisions are made permanent, a nonpartisan budget think tank estimates.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a group that advocates for lower deficits, said Monday the current House iteration of the Build Back Better Act relies “on a number of arbitrary sunsets and expirations” to lower its sticker price. Republicans and outside groups have criticized those features of the bill as budget gimmickry.


“If the plan's temporary policies were made permanent, we find the cost would increase by as much as $2.5 trillion,” the public policy group said. “As a result, the gross cost of the bill would more than double from $2.4 trillion to $4.9 trillion.”

Democratic leadership lowered the headline cost of the legislation to about $2 trillion to appease centrists worried about adding to the debt, particularly Sens. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona. Yet, Monday's estimates indicate the bill would cost far more when future extensions of provisions are taken into account.

One particularly costly measure would be an extension of the boosted child tax credit. Democrats recently expanded the child tax credit by increasing the money families receive from up to $2,000 per child to $3,600 for children under 6 years old and $3,000 for older children. However, the expansion is set to sunset.

The cost estimate for extending the expansion by one year is currently $130 billion, but the CRFB estimates it would cost $1.13 trillion over the next decade if made permanent .

While the group said raising the cap on the state and local tax deduction through 2025 would cost $285 billion, if it were to be made permanent as part of separate legislation, it would actually cost the United States $625 billion.

“We estimate that extending universal pre-K and the child care subsidies beyond 2027 would cost over $400 billion on a combined basis,” the group said. “Continuing the [Obamacare] expansion, which temporarily extends the American Rescue Plan's insurance subsidy expansions and offers subsidies to those in the Medicaid coverage gap, would cost another $400 billion to extend beyond 2025.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

The nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation recently said tax hikes that House Democrats plan to use to offset the costs of their spending proposal would raise enough revenue for at least a $1.5 trillion plan.

Despite the headline number, some proposals are left out of the JCT’s analysis of the legislation, including a plan to boost IRS funding, which Democrats believe will raise hundreds of billions over the next decade.
 
Ok libs,,,,explain this one.


Most millionaires to get tax cuts from Biden bill, independent analysis finds​

by Zachary Halaschak, Economics Reporter |
| November 11, 2021 05:52 PM

Two-thirds of people earning more than $1 million annually would receive tax cuts under President Joe Biden’s "Build Back Better" plan, a nonprofit think tank concluded.

The Tax Policy Center released its analysis of Democrats’ $1.85 trillion spending package and found that most of the wealthy will have a smaller tax bill if it is passed as it is currently outlined.























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Among those making over $1 million, only 34.2% will see their taxes increase, while the rest will get tax cuts. Additionally, nearly 80% of those earning between $500,000 and $1 million will see their tax bill shrink by an average of about $6,000 per year.

DEMOCRATIC TAX HIKES WOULD RAISE $768 BILLION, SHORT OF BIDEN BILL COST: TAX FOUNDATION

While the tax plan would be generous to most people, including high earners, the ultrawealthy and billionaires would be soaked by the changes.

“The exception: Those in the top 1 percent, who will make about $885,000 or more. They’d pay about $55,000 more than under current law,” the analysis read. “Those in the top 0.1 percent, who make about $4 million and up, would pay an additional $585,000 on average, a 5.9 percent reduction in their after-tax income.”

Last week, the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation found that the tax hikes with which House Democrats plan to offset the costs of their legislation would raise enough revenue for at least a $1.5 trillion plan, although there are also some proposals that were not included in the committee’s analysis of the legislation, chief among them the plan to boost IRS funding massively, which Democrats contend will raise hundreds of billions over the next decade.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Democrats have been in fierce negotiations for weeks about what spending and tax provisions will be included in the final legislation, and the plan is still in the air as leaders work to pass a substantive spending bill while still appeasing centrist Democrats.
 
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