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COVID just hit Columbia in a big way

But deaths are not going down in SC. Eleven were reported yesterday. Hopefully data will improve, but for now the % testing positive is up, new cases are up, and hospitalizations are up. We can debate the implications of the data, but in SC the fact is that the situation is not improving. That’s does not mean no football or any closings, but it does mean if you have an underlying condition you better be careful.

Only 1 death the day before IIRC. These things are reported in batches which is why it's important to view it as an overall weekly average. We now have rapid testing (much of it free) all over the state so positive cases will absolutely go up. It's so hard to compare to numbers a month or two ago because it was very hard to get a test for most people. The actual COVID positives were certainly higher than were being reported then.
 
Only 1 death the day before IIRC. These things are reported in batches which is why it's important to view it as an overall weekly average. We now have rapid testing (much of it free) all over the state so positive cases will absolutely go up. It's so hard to compare to numbers a month or two ago because it was very hard to get a test for most people. The actual COVID positives were certainly higher than were being reported then.
Actually we were only looking at the deaths numbers and trend. "Cases" are very misleading as they are so dependent on testing.
And yesterday there were only 11 reported as Orange originally said. The 17 was actually June 3, which should drop off of tomorrow's seven day trend line. (or Thursday's report)
 
I’m sure your crystal ball showed you over 100k deaths in the first 3 months when you, et al. were saying all that.
Been 4 months dude. 1st death in Santa Clara feb 6th. Dont exaggerate with bs. 100k out of 330 mill is tragic but not devastating. We've identified those at risk. They can self shelter. We are getting on with our lives and getting back to normal. The hospitals have PLENTY of capacity and ventilators which was the original purpose of the shutdown.

Those that wait on your scientists with baited breath telling u when its ok to come outside can stay inside another 2 yrs.

I just booked a trip to Vegas in 2 weeks. Cant wait. Blackjack, pool, steak dinner, maybe a massage. I'll do more than my part to help reopen our economy.

But hey, u are welcome to stay inside and continue your zoom meetings and your netflix binging.
 
I’m sure your crystal ball showed you over 100k deaths in the first 3 months when you, et al. were saying all that.
Exactly. I completely get wanting to get back to normal and where someone is from not being heavily impacted affecting their view of the severity of COVID-19 but “a huge joke like many of us said from the beginning”? It’s just strange to write off people dying from something new, and over 100k in a period of time much shorter than flu season, as a huge joke is pretty foul. Even if they were mostly older people, is it now okay to write off their lives as expendable because they would’ve died eventually? It’s all really strange to me and I wonder how many of you are “pro-life”...

Once again, if you’re not overly concerned with your own well-being because you’re not in a high-risk category, great. Feel confident about your chances. But it does spread easily and it will kill more people, the measures that were put in place absolutely had an impact even if you think they were overbearing. If the US hadn’t done anything, there’s no doubt it would’ve spread everywhere fairly quickly and even more of these people who lives don’t matter much (you can look at that a few ways based on statistics) in some of your eyes, would’ve been lost. I just hope it wouldn’t have been anyone you cared about.
 
Positive or asymptotic? It also depends on which test they were given. I know several people who have tested positive, taken the test again and had a completely different result. The tests appear to be as faulty as the tracking data
 
I'm helping run a testing site in the upstate. For the first 3 months, we saw very little spread. The last two weeks have been frightening. Unless you're older, death is not the concern. Shutting down again would be catastrophic. Here's what we've seen this week:
Our local Y had to close
A salon had to close
A church had to close
A plant had to close
A dance studio had to close

It is spreading. The scientist we're working with, the CDC, the WHO, DHEC, and public health officials are in agreement that masks are the key. It's our civic duty to wear one in public settings.
 
Exactly. I completely get wanting to get back to normal and where someone is from not being heavily impacted affecting their view of the severity of COVID-19 but “a huge joke like many of us said from the beginning”? It’s just strange to write off people dying from something new, and over 100k in a period of time much shorter than flu season, as a huge joke is pretty foul. Even if they were mostly older people, is it now okay to write off their lives as expendable because they would’ve died eventually? It’s all really strange to me and I wonder how many of you are “pro-life”...

Once again, if you’re not overly concerned with your own well-being because you’re not in a high-risk category, great. Feel confident about your chances. But it does spread easily and it will kill more people, the measures that were put in place absolutely had an impact even if you think they were overbearing. If the US hadn’t done anything, there’s no doubt it would’ve spread everywhere fairly quickly and even more of these people who lives don’t matter much (you can look at that a few ways based on statistics) in some of your eyes, would’ve been lost. I just hope it wouldn’t have been anyone you cared about.
Back in March, there was a poll of people about the number of deaths on tMB, where there are a lot of people who declared the virus was a joke before we knew much about the virus, and all but 2-3 people out of hundreds said there would be less than 50k deaths. Most of them had already decided the projection of nearly 200k deaths was too crazy to be true, and that anybody predicting over 100k deaths was fear-mongering.

I’m not sure what it is about this virus that makes people so resistant to any facts that aren’t consistent with what they claim to have “always known,” or why they think it’s so important to have “always known” something they had no real evidence for. This goes both for people who think the whole thing is a joke and people uninterested in economic consequences of the lockdown or who want to blame the seriousness of the virus on Trump.
 
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I'm helping run a testing site in the upstate. For the first 3 months, we saw very little spread. The last two weeks have been frightening. Unless you're older, death is not the concern. Shutting down again would be catastrophic. Here's what we've seen this week:
Our local Y had to close
A salon had to close
A church had to close
A plant had to close
A dance studio had to close

It is spreading. The scientist we're working with, the CDC, the WHO, DHEC, and public health officials are in agreement that masks are the key. It's our civic duty to wear one in public settings.
Does anybody have actual stats for SC?
 
Bl
By the way, I think at least 10% of Hammonf graduating seniors were black....when i grew up they wouldn't allow a black person to attend.

Black Privilege meets White Privilege

Meet the New Elitest

Not color of skin based but on EDUCATION based
 
Been 4 months dude. 1st death in Santa Clara feb 6th. Dont exaggerate with bs. 100k out of 330 mill is tragic but not devastating. We've identified those at risk. They can self shelter. We are getting on with our lives and getting back to normal. The hospitals have PLENTY of capacity and ventilators which was the original purpose of the shutdown.

Those that wait on your scientists with baited breath telling u when its ok to come outside can stay inside another 2 yrs.

I just booked a trip to Vegas in 2 weeks. Cant wait. Blackjack, pool, steak dinner, maybe a massage. I'll do more than my part to help reopen our economy.

But hey, u are welcome to stay inside and continue your zoom meetings and your netflix binging.
This isn’t actually a response to my post, but enjoy Trash Vegas, I guess. Plenty of people are taking the virus seriously without just staying in their homes all day.
 
This isn’t actually a response to my post, but enjoy Trash Vegas, I guess. Plenty of people are taking the virus seriously without just staying in their homes all day.

So where are we allowed to travel to in your opinion? How far is too far for you?
 
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Does anybody have actual stats for SC?

I've been tracking this for the Facebook group South Carolinians Reducing the Spread and Impact of COVID-19. What do you want to know? I have tons of stats on testing, percent positive, week to week increases, ect
 
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I've been tracking this for the Facebook group South Carolinians Reducing the Spread and Impact of COVID-19. What do you want to know? I have tons of stats on testing, percent positive, week to week increases, ect
I'm curious to know the weekly rolling average of positive test rates, the weekly average number of tests being done over the last month or so, and the current hospital bed availability.
 
So where are we allowed to travel to in your opinion? How far is too far for you?
I don't care where or how far people travel. That has nothing to do with anything. Being inside for long periods of time in a casino with a lot of people without masks doesn't seem like all that great a choice. Mostly because it's Vegas.
 
This isn’t actually a response to my post, but enjoy Trash Vegas, I guess. Plenty of people are taking the virus seriously without just staying in their homes all day.
You enjoy your grubhub taco bell. I'll enjoy a bone-in ribeye in "trash vegas". But hey, to each his own.
 
I don't care where or how far people travel. That has nothing to do with anything. Being inside for long periods of time in a casino with a lot of people without masks doesn't seem like all that great a choice. Mostly because it's Vegas.
Its a great f'n choice. Livin life.
 
Believe it or not, you can eat steak in places other than Las Vegas.
Thats true. Not going for steak, but primarily black jack with my buds. Steaks, pool, etc are added benefits. Be good to get a couple days with the fellas away from the fam.

Would go to Cherokee for the 4th, but currently they require masks. No thanks.
 
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I'm curious to know the weekly rolling average of positive test rates, the weekly average number of tests being done over the last month or so, and the current hospital bed availability.

Due to a database error on June 5, I had to estimate based on the percent positive they released.

May 10-16 36,554 test, 1213 new cases, 3.3% positive

May 17-23 35,309 test, 1243 new cases, 3.5% positive

May 24-30 31,762 test, 1664 new cases, 4.7% positive

May 31-June 6 35,917 test, 2450 new cases, 7.8% positive

3 day total June 7-9 13,703, 1379 new cases, 10.6% positive

Hospital bed capacity is 71% with 542 COVID-19 patients which is the high so far. Statewide we have 950 total ICU beds. COVID-19 patients generally need ICU beds. COVID-19 bed use was around 320 three weeks ago and has steadily climbed since then.
 
I'm helping run a testing site in the upstate. For the first 3 months, we saw very little spread. The last two weeks have been frightening. Unless you're older, death is not the concern. Shutting down again would be catastrophic. Here's what we've seen this week:
Our local Y had to close
A salon had to close
A church had to close
A plant had to close
A dance studio had to close

It is spreading. The scientist we're working with, the CDC, the WHO, DHEC, and public health officials are in agreement that masks are the key. It's our civic duty to wear one in public settings.

Wow. Thank you for sharing and for your help.
 
Hospital bed capacity is 71% with 542 COVID-19 patients which is the high so far. Statewide we have 950 total ICU beds. COVID-19 patients generally need ICU beds. COVID-19 bed use was around 320 three weeks ago and has steadily climbed since then.

Whoa. The next month might not be good.
 
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Due to a database error on June 5, I had to estimate based on the percent positive they released.

May 10-16 36,554 test, 1213 new cases, 3.3% positive

May 17-23 35,309 test, 1243 new cases, 3.5% positive

May 24-30 31,762 test, 1664 new cases, 4.7% positive

May 31-June 6 35,917 test, 2450 new cases, 7.8% positive

3 day total June 7-9 13,703, 1379 new cases, 10.6% positive

Hospital bed capacity is 71% with 542 COVID-19 patients which is the high so far. Statewide we have 950 total ICU beds. COVID-19 patients generally need ICU beds. COVID-19 bed use was around 320 three weeks ago and has steadily climbed since then.
Not saying you are wrong because all I can do is trust scdhec and those numbers are way off from what they are reporting. They include hospital beds, icu beds, etc.... its a really robust website. Their site reports roughly 400 icu beds available and the peak usage around may 1 of about 100 icu beds. My wife also works in covid area with prisma health midlands and they were never above 50% ICU utilization. Again, you may be right but that is just so far off from what scdhec is showing.

https://www.scdhec.gov/infectious-d...covid-19/sc-testing-data-projections-covid-19
 
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Not saying you are wrong because all I can do is trust scdhec and those numbers are way off from what they are reporting. They include hospital beds, icu beds, etc.... its a really robust website. Their site reports roughly 400 icu beds available and the peak usage around may 1 of about 100 icu beds. My wife also works in covid area with prisma health midlands and they were never above 50% ICU utilization. Again, you may be right but that is just so far off from what scdhec is showing.

https://www.scdhec.gov/infectious-d...covid-19/sc-testing-data-projections-covid-19

All of my data is directly from there. As far as ICU bed use goes, that's the only part I'm unsure about. However, 542 was the number of COVID-19 patients in beds yesterday. It dropped to 513 today., Which is still the high. I'm pretty sure what your are looking at is the "projected" peak. We likely haven't peaked yet considering the latest trends
 
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Whoa. The next month might not be good.
Yep, we're hitting the double whammy of Memorial Day (the rise in cases the last week and a half were from Memorial Day weekend) and today is10 days since the beginning of the protests. The next two weeks could be nasty. Acute Hospital bed occupancy% is at 70%-75% depending on region (https://www.scdhec.gov/infectious-d...-2019-covid-19/hospital-bed-capacity-covid-19). If we start hitting 600-700 new cases a day, those beds are going to go fast.
 
Yep, we're hitting the double whammy of Memorial Day (the rise in cases the last week and a half were from Memorial Day weekend) and today is10 days since the beginning of the protests. The next two weeks could be nasty. Acute Hospital bed occupancy% is at 70%-75% depending on region (https://www.scdhec.gov/infectious-d...-2019-covid-19/hospital-bed-capacity-covid-19). If we start hitting 600-700 new cases a day, those beds are going to go fast.

The media can shoulder all the blame for the protests. They pushed it.
 
Story goes that the Dad and his son knew they had the virus and had a party anyway down at their beach house (Debordieu) and invited all these high schoolers over. If that info is correct, dad and his son sound really cool. Of course, I am getting this info from a 17 year old, so there’s that. Thankfully mine didn’t attend!

sounds like a potential lawsuit
 
Been 4 months dude. 1st death in Santa Clara feb 6th. Dont exaggerate with bs. 100k out of 330 mill is tragic but not devastating. We've identified those at risk. They can self shelter. We are getting on with our lives and getting back to normal. The hospitals have PLENTY of capacity and ventilators which was the original purpose of the shutdown.

Those that wait on your scientists with baited breath telling u when its ok to come outside can stay inside another 2 yrs.

I just booked a trip to Vegas in 2 weeks. Cant wait. Blackjack, pool, steak dinner, maybe a massage. I'll do more than my part to help reopen our economy.

But hey, u are welcome to stay inside and continue your zoom meetings and your netflix binging.
Actually, on April 1, 2020 there were 6407 Covid-19 deaths. On June 1, there were 107,163. That's over 100k deaths in a two month period, not four months. But keep on believing this is just the ordinary flu, despite the fact it's about 4 times as many deaths as the normal flu in a whole year.
 
I'm helping run a testing site in the upstate. For the first 3 months, we saw very little spread. The last two weeks have been frightening. Unless you're older, death is not the concern. Shutting down again would be catastrophic. Here's what we've seen this week:
Our local Y had to close
A salon had to close
A church had to close
A plant had to close
A dance studio had to close

It is spreading. The scientist we're working with, the CDC, the WHO, DHEC, and public health officials are in agreement that masks are the key. It's our civic duty to wear one in public settings.
But I thought our "genius" president said the key was the sunshine, hydroxychloroquine, and clorox?
 
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