I just looked and the house next door to the "starter" home we bought in our 20s is listed for $1.2M. Think we paid $355K for that house (albeit ours was smaller than the active listing).
Housing is certainly nuts right now. I'm not sure valuations will drop meaningfully in highly desirable areas either. Sales may slow and some of the "absurd" closings may become more scarce, but values appear to be here to stay.
People who buy residential real estate for rental revenue (of which I am one) already pay higher taxes. Property taxes are usually 3X+ here on rental property. I don't think mom and pop investors like me are the issue, but perhaps we should take a look at the very large institutional money flowing in.
But the point remains. Affordable housing - especially in a desirable area with good schools - is virtually impossible to find now (at least around here, but I assume the same is true all over). I'm not sure where a 30 year old couple finds $200K for a down-payment on a decent house in Mt. Pleasant. But I will say there are a TON of young families here, so maybe they are finding a way. Or maybe they waited until they were a bit older to have kids (as we did). Or maybe they are like the Lending Tree guy and are in debt up to their eyeballs.