I know, probably beating a dead horse here given all of the other threads, but I projected the remainder of the regular season and the conference championship games based solely on each teams current Sagarin Ratings. To summarize, take each teams Sagaring Rating and add 3 points to the home teams rating. The team with the highest rating wins and the difference is the margin of victory. This scenario assumes no upsets, which we all know wont happen. Anyway, here is what happens:
ACC
Clemson 12-0, 8-0 Clemson by 5 over FSU
FSU 10-2, 7-1 Florida by 3 over FSU
Duke 10-2, 7-1 Duke by 2 over Pitt, UNC by 5 over Duke
UNC 10-2, 7-1 Pitt by 1 over UNC
Championship Game
Clemson by 11 over Duke (Duke Wins Tiebreaker by being highest ranked)
Clemson Finishes 13-0
SEC
Florida 11-1, 7-1 Florida by 4 over UGA
Alabama 11-1, 7-1 Alabama by 11 over LSU
LSU 10-1, 7-1 LSU had game canceled that will not be made up
Championship Game
Alabama by 8 over Florida
Alabama Finishes 12-1
Big 12
Baylor 12-0, 9-0 Baylor by 8 over Oklahoma, Baylor by 7 over Oklahoma St, Baylor by 1 over TCU
TCU 10-2, 7-2 Oklahoma by 2 over TCU, TCU by 3 over Oklahoma Stae
Oklahoma 10-2, 7-2 Oklahoma by 2 over Oklahoma St
Oklahoma St 9-3, 6-3
No Championship Game
Baylor Finishes 12-0
Big 10
Ohio State 11-1, 7-1 Ohio State by 9 over Michigan State, Michigan by 1 over Ohio State
Michigan State 11-1, 7-1
Michigan 10-2, 7-1
Iowa 12-0, 8-0 Iowa by 6 over Nebraska,
Wisconsin 10-2, 7-1
Championship Game
Ohio State by 3 over Iowa
Ohio State finishes 12-1
PAC 12
Stanford 11-1, 9-0 Stanford by 3 over Notre Dame
Utah 12-0, 9-0 Utah by 1 over USC, Utah by 5 over Washington
Championship Game
Utah by 1 over Stanford
Utah finishes 13-0
American Athletic Conference
Temple 10-2, 7-1 Memphis by 1 over Temple
Houston 12-0, 8-0 Houston by 1 over Memphis, Houston by 5 over Navy
Memphis 11-2, 7-1
Championship Game
Houston by 2 over Temple
Houston finishes 13-0
To summarize:
Clemson 13-0 and ACC Champions
Alabama 12-1 and SEC Champions
Baylor 12-0 and Big 12 Regular Season Champions
Ohio State 12-1 and Big 10 Champions
Utah 13-0 and PAC 12 Champions
Houston 13-0 and AAC Champions
LSU 10-1
Michigan State 11-1
Who gets in? My guess would be Baylor, Utah, Clemson and Alabama. Would they really leave out the defending national champions? There a couple of extremely close games that will really decide things: Baylor at TCU is a coin flip, Michigan at Ohio State is a coin flip, Utah at USC is a coin flip, and Utah vs. Stanford in PAC 12 Championship is a coin flip.
ACC
Clemson 12-0, 8-0 Clemson by 5 over FSU
FSU 10-2, 7-1 Florida by 3 over FSU
Duke 10-2, 7-1 Duke by 2 over Pitt, UNC by 5 over Duke
UNC 10-2, 7-1 Pitt by 1 over UNC
Championship Game
Clemson by 11 over Duke (Duke Wins Tiebreaker by being highest ranked)
Clemson Finishes 13-0
SEC
Florida 11-1, 7-1 Florida by 4 over UGA
Alabama 11-1, 7-1 Alabama by 11 over LSU
LSU 10-1, 7-1 LSU had game canceled that will not be made up
Championship Game
Alabama by 8 over Florida
Alabama Finishes 12-1
Big 12
Baylor 12-0, 9-0 Baylor by 8 over Oklahoma, Baylor by 7 over Oklahoma St, Baylor by 1 over TCU
TCU 10-2, 7-2 Oklahoma by 2 over TCU, TCU by 3 over Oklahoma Stae
Oklahoma 10-2, 7-2 Oklahoma by 2 over Oklahoma St
Oklahoma St 9-3, 6-3
No Championship Game
Baylor Finishes 12-0
Big 10
Ohio State 11-1, 7-1 Ohio State by 9 over Michigan State, Michigan by 1 over Ohio State
Michigan State 11-1, 7-1
Michigan 10-2, 7-1
Iowa 12-0, 8-0 Iowa by 6 over Nebraska,
Wisconsin 10-2, 7-1
Championship Game
Ohio State by 3 over Iowa
Ohio State finishes 12-1
PAC 12
Stanford 11-1, 9-0 Stanford by 3 over Notre Dame
Utah 12-0, 9-0 Utah by 1 over USC, Utah by 5 over Washington
Championship Game
Utah by 1 over Stanford
Utah finishes 13-0
American Athletic Conference
Temple 10-2, 7-1 Memphis by 1 over Temple
Houston 12-0, 8-0 Houston by 1 over Memphis, Houston by 5 over Navy
Memphis 11-2, 7-1
Championship Game
Houston by 2 over Temple
Houston finishes 13-0
To summarize:
Clemson 13-0 and ACC Champions
Alabama 12-1 and SEC Champions
Baylor 12-0 and Big 12 Regular Season Champions
Ohio State 12-1 and Big 10 Champions
Utah 13-0 and PAC 12 Champions
Houston 13-0 and AAC Champions
LSU 10-1
Michigan State 11-1
Who gets in? My guess would be Baylor, Utah, Clemson and Alabama. Would they really leave out the defending national champions? There a couple of extremely close games that will really decide things: Baylor at TCU is a coin flip, Michigan at Ohio State is a coin flip, Utah at USC is a coin flip, and Utah vs. Stanford in PAC 12 Championship is a coin flip.
