This is from ESPN. Its an Insider Article so I'll link for those with Insider access and C&P the relevant portions below-
Projections: Ray, Fowler look like busts
With the 2015 NFL draft quickly approaching, it is time for Football Outsiders' annual SackSEER projections. The SackSEER projections are based on a statistical analysis of the factors that best predict the pass-rushing success of edge rushers (4-3 defensive ends and 3-4 outside linebackers).
SackSEER correctly predicted a number of busts at the edge rusher position, including Jamie Collins (taken in the late second round by New England) as significant sleepers.
SackSEER is far from perfect, however. For example, it predicted big things for Cleveland's Barkevious Mingo, who has yet to make a major impact. (For a full explanation of what goes into the SackSEER formula, refer to the methodology at the bottom of the article.)
This year there is considerable uncertainty concerning who will be the first edge rusher selected in the NFL draft. Vic Beasley could all conceivably hear their names called first. SackSEER, however, projects this class as night and day. It sees two of the four as excellent prospects and the other two as highly likely to become busts.
Here's a look at how SackSEER, which projects the number of regular-season sacks that the edge rusher will record over the course of his first five NFL seasons, ranks the top edge rushers in the draft, plus a look at our No. 1 sleeper:1. Vic Beasley, Clemson
Projection: [/B]34.1 sacks through Year 5
Scouts, Inc.: [/B]No. 25 overall
Similar Historical Prospects: [/B]Von Miller, Andre Carter
Beasley gives you almost everything you want in an edge-rusher prospect. He was consistently productive in college, recording 32 sacks and nine passes defensed over a four-year career. Where Beasley really shined was the combine, where he recorded a 4.53-second 40-yard dash, a 41-inch vertical jump, a 12-foot, 10-inch broad jump, and a 6.91-second 3-cone, all of which are well above average.
Beasley is #1
Projections: Ray, Fowler look like busts
With the 2015 NFL draft quickly approaching, it is time for Football Outsiders' annual SackSEER projections. The SackSEER projections are based on a statistical analysis of the factors that best predict the pass-rushing success of edge rushers (4-3 defensive ends and 3-4 outside linebackers).
SackSEER correctly predicted a number of busts at the edge rusher position, including Jamie Collins (taken in the late second round by New England) as significant sleepers.
SackSEER is far from perfect, however. For example, it predicted big things for Cleveland's Barkevious Mingo, who has yet to make a major impact. (For a full explanation of what goes into the SackSEER formula, refer to the methodology at the bottom of the article.)
This year there is considerable uncertainty concerning who will be the first edge rusher selected in the NFL draft. Vic Beasley could all conceivably hear their names called first. SackSEER, however, projects this class as night and day. It sees two of the four as excellent prospects and the other two as highly likely to become busts.
Here's a look at how SackSEER, which projects the number of regular-season sacks that the edge rusher will record over the course of his first five NFL seasons, ranks the top edge rushers in the draft, plus a look at our No. 1 sleeper:1. Vic Beasley, Clemson
Projection: [/B]34.1 sacks through Year 5
Scouts, Inc.: [/B]No. 25 overall
Similar Historical Prospects: [/B]Von Miller, Andre Carter
Beasley gives you almost everything you want in an edge-rusher prospect. He was consistently productive in college, recording 32 sacks and nine passes defensed over a four-year career. Where Beasley really shined was the combine, where he recorded a 4.53-second 40-yard dash, a 41-inch vertical jump, a 12-foot, 10-inch broad jump, and a 6.91-second 3-cone, all of which are well above average.
Beasley is #1
