Clemson is a pre season 3 point favorite in HALF of their 12 regular season games. The average loss rate for a 3 point favorite is about 30% or almost two losses (1.8). here's a quick look at those 6 games.
1. @ Louisville. This is the scariest of games to me as they catch us early and the travel day required on a short week is a HUGE advantage to them. Away Thursday night games are always tough.
2. Notre Dame. Their OL will be very good. Will the younger players get too excited?
3. FSU. Their RBs will be monsters and a little of the pressure exists to end their streak.
4.@ Miami. A popular pick to surprise people but like Clemson, they lost a lot of NFL talent.
5. Ga Tech. We seem to do better at home with the Bees. I like O'Daniel, Blanks, Kearse and Wilkins to have big games. With GT, I'm always scared of the phantom penalty/bad spot/bad call to turn game.
6. @Scar. If they haven't imploded by November this will be a game. Playing them late should give us an advantage, as young studs grow, but can their offense hold the ball? (doubtful).
I can easily see getting through all of this with 2 or less losses and the remainder with 1 loss but the "expected" case really shouldn't be any better.
Don't sleep on @ NC State and BC always represents a tough out especially now that Addazzio is established. Finally, App State is a very good (now FBS) team that has Everybody back from a team that won its last 6 games. Sure that should be a W but there can't be a mental drop off (staff has proven ability to keep kids focused).
There have been more off season issues than I can remember. All this being said, the offense should be sick and the defense could be solid, especially late in the year. "Next man up" truly should work now-this is a Program with great and deep talent (though young) and a solid mix of experienced and young coaches.
Although I feel 9-3 should be the "Base" projection, I'll go with LW's 10-2, feeling that this team will get better as year progresses.
1. @ Louisville. This is the scariest of games to me as they catch us early and the travel day required on a short week is a HUGE advantage to them. Away Thursday night games are always tough.
2. Notre Dame. Their OL will be very good. Will the younger players get too excited?
3. FSU. Their RBs will be monsters and a little of the pressure exists to end their streak.
4.@ Miami. A popular pick to surprise people but like Clemson, they lost a lot of NFL talent.
5. Ga Tech. We seem to do better at home with the Bees. I like O'Daniel, Blanks, Kearse and Wilkins to have big games. With GT, I'm always scared of the phantom penalty/bad spot/bad call to turn game.
6. @Scar. If they haven't imploded by November this will be a game. Playing them late should give us an advantage, as young studs grow, but can their offense hold the ball? (doubtful).
I can easily see getting through all of this with 2 or less losses and the remainder with 1 loss but the "expected" case really shouldn't be any better.
Don't sleep on @ NC State and BC always represents a tough out especially now that Addazzio is established. Finally, App State is a very good (now FBS) team that has Everybody back from a team that won its last 6 games. Sure that should be a W but there can't be a mental drop off (staff has proven ability to keep kids focused).
There have been more off season issues than I can remember. All this being said, the offense should be sick and the defense could be solid, especially late in the year. "Next man up" truly should work now-this is a Program with great and deep talent (though young) and a solid mix of experienced and young coaches.
Although I feel 9-3 should be the "Base" projection, I'll go with LW's 10-2, feeling that this team will get better as year progresses.
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