Remaining ACC SChedule
Duke: NC State, FSU, Louisville, Wake, UNC, UVA, Pitt
UNC: Miami, UVA, GA Tech, Duke, Clemson, NC State
FSU: Cuse, Duke, Wake, Pitt, Miami
Louisville: Pitt, Duke, VA Tech, UVA, Miami
Clemson: Miami, NC State, GA Tech, UNC
The pathway to be 2nd in the ACC and make the championship is slim. Assumption #1 is Clemson wins out the rest of its ACC schedule. Notre Dame games don't count in the ACC standings.
FSU has 3 of 5 remaining ACC games are at home. Assumption #2: they finish first in the ACC; if they play up to their talent level they will win their remaining ACC games. Cuse, Duke, and Miami are all home games.
Duke can help Clemson the most as they play FSU, Louisville, and UNC, handing them each 1 ACC loss. Conversely with the most ACC games remaining and with FSU, Louisville, and UNC all away games, they have the toughest schedule remaining with Riley Leonard recovering from an ankle injury. We underestimated Duke before, but 3 losses is plausible with the schedule and if Leonard isn't 100%.
Louisville has 3 of 5 remaining ACC games are at home. They play Duke (home) and Miami (away). They would need to stumble twice and Clemson would need a better win percentage against common opponents. Pitt, VA Tech, and UVA are atrocious. Best case is Louisville has a third stumble against a weak opponent. (ACC Tiebreaker rules)
UNC has 3 home and 3 away remaining ACC games. Clemson can take care of business at home. UNC gets Duke at home and Clemson needs UNC to beat them. So another stumble by UNC (Miami, maybe away at GA Tech, away at NC State) is needed since Clemson would own the head-to-head.
Catching UNC is very plausible (see Assumption #1).
Clemson needs to cheer for everyone of Duke's opponents.
Louisville needs to lose to Miami and then at least 1 loss from Pitt, VA Tech, or UVA, plus the math of Clemson and Louisville common opponent win percentage.
Then there is a FSU-Clemson rematch for the ACC championship. Plausible? Yes. Likely? TBD. Go Tigers.
Duke: NC State, FSU, Louisville, Wake, UNC, UVA, Pitt
UNC: Miami, UVA, GA Tech, Duke, Clemson, NC State
FSU: Cuse, Duke, Wake, Pitt, Miami
Louisville: Pitt, Duke, VA Tech, UVA, Miami
Clemson: Miami, NC State, GA Tech, UNC
The pathway to be 2nd in the ACC and make the championship is slim. Assumption #1 is Clemson wins out the rest of its ACC schedule. Notre Dame games don't count in the ACC standings.
FSU has 3 of 5 remaining ACC games are at home. Assumption #2: they finish first in the ACC; if they play up to their talent level they will win their remaining ACC games. Cuse, Duke, and Miami are all home games.
Duke can help Clemson the most as they play FSU, Louisville, and UNC, handing them each 1 ACC loss. Conversely with the most ACC games remaining and with FSU, Louisville, and UNC all away games, they have the toughest schedule remaining with Riley Leonard recovering from an ankle injury. We underestimated Duke before, but 3 losses is plausible with the schedule and if Leonard isn't 100%.
Louisville has 3 of 5 remaining ACC games are at home. They play Duke (home) and Miami (away). They would need to stumble twice and Clemson would need a better win percentage against common opponents. Pitt, VA Tech, and UVA are atrocious. Best case is Louisville has a third stumble against a weak opponent. (ACC Tiebreaker rules)
UNC has 3 home and 3 away remaining ACC games. Clemson can take care of business at home. UNC gets Duke at home and Clemson needs UNC to beat them. So another stumble by UNC (Miami, maybe away at GA Tech, away at NC State) is needed since Clemson would own the head-to-head.
Catching UNC is very plausible (see Assumption #1).
Clemson needs to cheer for everyone of Duke's opponents.
Louisville needs to lose to Miami and then at least 1 loss from Pitt, VA Tech, or UVA, plus the math of Clemson and Louisville common opponent win percentage.
Then there is a FSU-Clemson rematch for the ACC championship. Plausible? Yes. Likely? TBD. Go Tigers.
