At-Large Bid Path
1.Oregon, Big 10 Champ
2.Georgia, SEC Champ
3.Miami, ACC Champ
4.BYU, Big 12 Champ
5.Ohio St
6.Texas
7.Penn St
8.Notre Dame
9.
10.
11.
12.Boise State
Ohio State 7-1 Purdue W, Northwestern W, Indiana W, Michigan W, Big 10 Champ L to Oregon
12-2 (Makes Playoffs)
Texas 7-1 Florida W, Arkansas W, Kentucky W, Texas A&M W, SEC Champ Game L
12-2 (Makes Playoffs)
Texas AM 6-2 New Mexico St W, Auburn W, Texas L
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
LSU 6-2 Alabama Tossup, Florida W, Vandy W, Oklahoma W
10-2 (Bubble) 9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Alabama 6-2 LSU Tossup, Mercer W, Oklahoma W, Auburn W
9-3 (Misses playoffs) 10-2 (Bubble)
Iowa St 7-1 Kansas L, Cincinnati W, Utah W, Kansas St L
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Ole miss 6-2 Georgia L, Florida W, Miss St W
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Penn State 7-1 Washington W, Purdue W, Minnesota W, Maryland W
11-1 (Makes Playoffs)
Notre Dame 7-1 FSU W, Virginia W, Army W, USC W
11-1 (Makes Playoffs)
SMU 8-1 BC W, Virginia W, Cal W
ACC Champ L
11-2 (Bubble)
Clemson 6-2 VT W, Pitt W, Citadel W, SC W
10-2 (Bubble)
Tennessee 7-1 Miss St W, Georgia L, UTEP W, Vandy W
10-2 (Bubble)
4 Teams Competing for 3 Spots (after this weekend seeing LSU/Alabama as an elimination game)
LSU/Alabama
Clemson
Tennessee
SMU
Ranking Resumés based on Projected Records above with LSU win
LSU
Tennessee
SMU
Clemson
Ranking Resumés based on Projected Records above with Alabama win
Tennessee
Alabama
SMU
Clemson
Projected wins that could be questionable for these 5 teams
(one will be eliminated after Saturday with the results of LSU-Alabama)
LSU-Florida, Vandy, Oklahoma
Alabama-Oklahoma, Auburn
SMU- BC, Virginia, Cal
Tennessee- Miss St, Vandy
Clemson-VT, Pitt, SCar
Clemson will benefit with losses from any of these 4 teams.
Conference Championship Path
It is simple. The common opponent between Clemson, Miami, and SMU is Louisville.
Miami beat Louisville, SMU beat Louisville, Clemson did not.
Less Likely Scenario First
Miami would have to lose 2 games for Clemson to jump them OR lose to Wake Forest (because Clemson has a head to head win over Wake Forest)
More Likely Scenario (but still a long shot)
Our good friend Tony Elliott needs to beat SMU in 2 weeks. It’s literally that simple. (Then there are a ton of tie breakers that would go in between us and SMU but that is very much above my pay grade.) OR SMU needs to lose 2 of their last 3 games.
Absolutely all of this is dependent on Clemson getting their act together and winning out, but I know there are some fans like me out there who are still curious about the path. This is the most accurate and unbiased solutions that I could come up with.
Hope this helps who are interested.
1.Oregon, Big 10 Champ
2.Georgia, SEC Champ
3.Miami, ACC Champ
4.BYU, Big 12 Champ
5.Ohio St
6.Texas
7.Penn St
8.Notre Dame
9.
10.
11.
12.Boise State
Ohio State 7-1 Purdue W, Northwestern W, Indiana W, Michigan W, Big 10 Champ L to Oregon
12-2 (Makes Playoffs)
Texas 7-1 Florida W, Arkansas W, Kentucky W, Texas A&M W, SEC Champ Game L
12-2 (Makes Playoffs)
Texas AM 6-2 New Mexico St W, Auburn W, Texas L
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
LSU 6-2 Alabama Tossup, Florida W, Vandy W, Oklahoma W
10-2 (Bubble) 9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Alabama 6-2 LSU Tossup, Mercer W, Oklahoma W, Auburn W
9-3 (Misses playoffs) 10-2 (Bubble)
Iowa St 7-1 Kansas L, Cincinnati W, Utah W, Kansas St L
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Ole miss 6-2 Georgia L, Florida W, Miss St W
9-3 (Misses Playoffs)
Penn State 7-1 Washington W, Purdue W, Minnesota W, Maryland W
11-1 (Makes Playoffs)
Notre Dame 7-1 FSU W, Virginia W, Army W, USC W
11-1 (Makes Playoffs)
SMU 8-1 BC W, Virginia W, Cal W
ACC Champ L
11-2 (Bubble)
Clemson 6-2 VT W, Pitt W, Citadel W, SC W
10-2 (Bubble)
Tennessee 7-1 Miss St W, Georgia L, UTEP W, Vandy W
10-2 (Bubble)
4 Teams Competing for 3 Spots (after this weekend seeing LSU/Alabama as an elimination game)
LSU/Alabama
Clemson
Tennessee
SMU
Ranking Resumés based on Projected Records above with LSU win
LSU
Tennessee
SMU
Clemson
Ranking Resumés based on Projected Records above with Alabama win
Tennessee
Alabama
SMU
Clemson
Projected wins that could be questionable for these 5 teams
(one will be eliminated after Saturday with the results of LSU-Alabama)
LSU-Florida, Vandy, Oklahoma
Alabama-Oklahoma, Auburn
SMU- BC, Virginia, Cal
Tennessee- Miss St, Vandy
Clemson-VT, Pitt, SCar
Clemson will benefit with losses from any of these 4 teams.
Conference Championship Path
It is simple. The common opponent between Clemson, Miami, and SMU is Louisville.
Miami beat Louisville, SMU beat Louisville, Clemson did not.
Less Likely Scenario First
Miami would have to lose 2 games for Clemson to jump them OR lose to Wake Forest (because Clemson has a head to head win over Wake Forest)
More Likely Scenario (but still a long shot)
Our good friend Tony Elliott needs to beat SMU in 2 weeks. It’s literally that simple. (Then there are a ton of tie breakers that would go in between us and SMU but that is very much above my pay grade.) OR SMU needs to lose 2 of their last 3 games.
Absolutely all of this is dependent on Clemson getting their act together and winning out, but I know there are some fans like me out there who are still curious about the path. This is the most accurate and unbiased solutions that I could come up with.
Hope this helps who are interested.
