Positive trend with SC Covid

[Tigerbomb]

1170 cases yesterday with a 15.6% positive rate.

Those are the lowest numbers we have had in quite some time and the cases have slowly declined over the last two weeks.

The spiking death rate should start to decline as well over the next two weeks.

Small victory and we aren't out of the woods by any stretch of the imagination but it looks more positive than 3 or 4 weeks ago.

Trends are also pointing downward in other states that got clobbered right after Memorial Day.

Let's hope the cases, hospitalizations and deaths continue to decline and stabilize.

 

[Tigerbomb]

Here is the % positive over the last 28 days:

Here are the weekly totals for cases. The projected this week was 14,800 and we will end up with 10,650. That is really great news to come in 4,000+ less than expected.

 

[clemsontiger02]

The spiking death rate should start to decline as well over the next two weeks.

Two weeks mentioned. Drink!

 

[tigerskins]

Seems like the weekend days are typically lower numbers but definitely starting to see the numbers trending down somewhat. Great news indeed if it keeps heading in this direction.

 

[Tigerbomb]

Two weeks mentioned. Drink!

Haha.

You only drink if you use "two more weeks" to project doom and gloom.

 

[Tigerbomb]

Seems like the weekend days are typically lower numbers but definitely starting to see the numbers trending down somewhat. Great news indeed if it keeps heading in this direction.

They usually are but the % positive and weekly cases indicate it is indeed slowing down.

You're seeing a lot less cases in most heavily populated areas and more cases in smaller towns/counties. Basically this virus is now making it's way through areas it hasn't greatly impacted.

Better now than running wild during flu season.

 

[fcctiger12]

Great news indeed! Hopefully this is an indication that South Carolinians are finally starting to take this thing seriously. Bout dang time if so.

 

[clemsontiger02]

Haha.

You only drink if you use "two more weeks" to project doom and gloom.

I took a drink anyway. Better safe than sorry.

 

[Solid Orange Blood]

It's encouraging news. I hope we continue to squash these Wuhan Flu numbers.

 

[Tigerbomb]

Great news indeed! Hopefully this is an indication that South Carolinians are finally starting to take this thing seriously. Bout dang time if so.

I think more people are taking it more seriously but I also think "x" number of cases begins to provide some semblance of herd immunity.

I dont think we are anywhere near true herd immunity but it is getting tougher for this virus to find hosts.

SCDHEC puts the actual # of cases as 8x the reported number. 80,000 x 8 is 640,000 cases in SC, which is 13.5% of the population. That helps slow the spread.

 

[athigpe]

Jesus, I guess I haven’t been following things too damn closely, but we really bit that high of a positive test rate? Seems crazy high.

 

[gardentiger]

Great news indeed! Hopefully this is an indication that South Carolinians are finally starting to take this thing seriously. Bout dang time if so.

Really. Could it be that there's almost nothing you can do to protect yourself from it and its naturally run its course? Just another possibility.

 

[DW4_2016]

Again, more people than ever wearing masks and numbers starting to go down. Excellent news!

 

[Tigerbomb]

Again, more people than ever wearing masks and numbers starting to go down. Excellent news!

I'm not going to die on hill when it comes to masks as worst case scenario is they do no more harm.

But watching people go in and out of Sam's Club yesterday while eating in the car in their parking lot yesterday leads me to believe masks havent been the biggest driver of reduced cases in Greenville. Place was a zoo and looked like business as usual. If it doesnt spike in those conditions I have to believe some semblance of herd immunity has been achieved.

 

[DW4_2016]

I'm not going to die on hill when it comes to masks as worst case scenario is they do no more harm.

But watching people go in and out of Sam's Club yesterday while eating in the car in their parking lot yesterday leads me to believe masks havent been the biggest driver of reduced cases in Greenville. Place was a zoo and looked like business as usual. If it doesnt spike in those conditions I have to believe some semblance of herd immunity has been achieved.

What % have to get it before herd immunity starts to happen?

 

[Cavitybacks]

Again, more people than ever wearing masks and numbers starting to go down. Excellent news!

Nobody shut the world down tighter than California and look at what happened there.

I'm all for masks... but this has nothing to do with our numbers. It's a community spread deal. You can try your best, but the virus is gonna eventually do it's thing.

 

[DW4_2016]

Nobody shut the world down tighter than California and look at what happened there.

I'm all for masks...worn then for years... but this has nothing to do with our numbers. It's a community spread deal. You can try your best, but the virus is gonna eventually do it's thing.

Can we just agree that better numbers are great without unsubstantiated bullshit?

 

[Cavitybacks]

Can we just agree that better numbers are great without unsubstantiated bullshit?

It's not unsubstantiated. It's the same trend everywhere. Again, we have strict policies at my office to try and protect everyone. I think you're an idiot if you're against wearing one.

But, it's not as simple as...hey the numbers are going down because people wear masks in SC now. That's really shallow thinking.

 

[Tigerbomb]

What % have to get it before herd immunity starts to happen?

Lots of studies are pointing to 20% infected.

It appears a lot of people have some sort of immunity due to t-cells from past coronavirus infections.

Fascinating research but the main takeaway is nowhere near 70% of people need to be infected before herd immunity occurs.

 

[Cloud 9]

I think the trend will be it settles down now until school starts back.

That's when we get the next big test.

 

[Howard's Jock]

Can we just agree that better numbers are great without unsubstantiated bullshit?

You opened the door

 

[fcctiger12]

Really. Could it be that there's almost nothing you can do to protect yourself from it and its naturally run its course? Just another possibility.

Hey man, I don’t care what it is so long as numbers keep going down. That’s all that matters to me.

 

[DW4_2016]

You opened the door

I stated two facts?

 

[Taylors_Tiger]

I think more people are taking it more seriously but I also think "x" number of cases begins to provide some semblance of herd immunity.

I dont think we are anywhere near true herd immunity but it is getting tougher for this virus to find hosts.

SCDHEC puts the actual # of cases as 8x the reported number. 80,000 x 8 is 640,000 cases in SC, which is 13.5% of the population. That helps slow the spread.

I think pretty much everywhere requiring masks now helps. Just Walmart alone is worth about 500 decreased cases

 

[Dabofan]

Football players have been wearing face masks for close to 50 years, just saying. Spot the damn ball.

 

[TigerDoc]

1170 cases yesterday with a 15.6% positive rate.

Those are the lowest numbers we have had in quite some time and the cases have slowly declined over the last two weeks.

The spiking death rate should start to decline as well over the next two weeks.

Small victory and we aren't out of the woods by any stretch of the imagination but it looks more positive than 3 or 4 weeks ago.

Trends are also pointing downward in other states that got clobbered right after Memorial Day.

Let's hope the cases, hospitalizations and deaths continue to decline and stabilize.

Based on the information from an article I posted last week, roughly 11% of the population of SC has been infected as of yesterday. When that number starts approaching 15% we should be reaching herd immunity. Definitely will be when it reaches 20%. The virus starts running out of hosts to infect and the death rate drops to almost zero. We may be thirty days away from a break point.

 

[saber8689]

Great news, hopefully trends down for a month and football will be a go!

 

[TigerDoc]

Lots of studies are pointing to 20% infected.

It appears a lot of people have some sort of immunity due to t-cells from past coronavirus infections.

Fascinating research but the main takeaway is nowhere near 70% of people need to be infected before herd immunity occurs.

15% to 20% for herd immunity based on an infected mortality rate of .26%. The threshold may be lower since the infected mortality rate of the demographic most infected 20-35 year olds is MUCH lower than .26%.

 

[Tigerbomb]

15% to 20% for herd immunity based on an infected mortality rate of .26%. The threshold may be lower since the infected mortality rate of the demographic most infected 20-35 year olds is MUCH lower than .26%.

Thank you for your perspective and knowledge.

 

[gooddogjudge]

Lots of studies are pointing to 20% infected.

It appears a lot of people have some sort of immunity due to t-cells from past coronavirus infections.

Fascinating research but the main takeaway is nowhere near 70% of people need to be infected before herd immunity occurs.

And SC about at 17.5 percent. I think thats

Based on the information from an article I posted last week, roughly 11% of the population of SC has been infected as of yesterday. When that number starts approaching 15% we should be reaching herd immunity. Definitely will be when it reaches 20%. The virus starts running out of hosts to infect and the death rate drops to almost zero. We may be thirty days away from a break point.

Good news indeed!

 

[StSimonsIslandTiger]

What % have to get it before herd immunity starts to happen?

Not clearly known but some Oxford scientists have estimated 17%. Not the 60-70% commonly needed for new influenza strains. Some think T- cell lymphocyte mediated immunity may be present in as many as 81% of folk due to cross immunity with common cold viruses. (Different than antibody mediated immunity)

 

[nmerritt11]

The masks or go to hell people make me laugh...almost everyone I know who has gotten it have been the pro-mask people. My friends and clients that have been out and about the entire time with no mask haven’t. My wife even had a friend post on Facebook “please wear a mask! We quarantined, didn’t go anywhere we didn’t have to, always wore a mask and now we all tested positive! Wear a mask people!”

ummmm how’d that work out for ya. I wear a mask in highly infectious areas and places that require. That’s it

 

[CU91ENGR]

And SC about at 17.5 percent. I think thats

Good news indeed!

No way 1 out of every 6 people in SC have had Covid-19 already. I currently know 10 people that have or have had it. We are in Greenville, which is the 2nd worst in state and I can promise you that we know a lot more than 60 people total.

 

[gooddogjudge]

No way 1 out of every 6 people in SC have had Covid-19 already. I currently know 10 people that have or have had it. We are in Greenville, which is the 2nd worst in state and I can promise you that we know a lot more than 60 people total.

CDC says true postivies are 8x test numbers. Just going by what they say. My glass is half full!

 

[gardentiger]

Lots of studies are pointing to 20% infected.

It appears a lot of people have some sort of immunity due to t-cells from past coronavirus infections.
80% herd for uri

Fascinating research but the main takeaway is nowhere near 70% of people need to be infected before herd immunity occurs.

Nobody shut the world down tighter than California and look at what happened there.

I'm all for masks... but this has nothing to do with our numbers. It's a community spread deal. You can try your best, but the virus is gonna eventually do it's thing.

Math is a crazy thing. The curve in NY was unchanged with shutdowns and other orwellian tactics. It does what it does.

 

[SGTiger]

No way 1 out of every 6 people in SC have had Covid-19 already. I currently know 10 people that have or have had it. We are in Greenville, which is the 2nd worst in state and I can promise you that we know a lot more than 60 people total.

You playing the role of Chicken Little and running from thread to thread frantically and shrilly posting nonstop 24/7 is pathetic. You should consider obtaining a Lithium prescription.

 

[nashvegastiger]

What % have to get it before herd immunity starts to happen?

The new infections for virus starts to dramatically decrease in an area at about 20%. It doesn’t die completely but the numbers will begin to fall dramatically as it becomes harder for the virus to spread.

This has proven to be the case in Europe and in the northeast.

 

[nmerritt11]

CDC says true postivies are 8x test numbers. Just going by what they say. My glass is half full!

Or to mention, with or without symptoms, places that get it are going to see rapid positive growth. Most I know tested positive because they were required to take the test yet as no symptoms.

Look at the Clemson football team. What was the final number? 32 positives?

Assisted Livings had high positive rates in the early go of this thing. It’s pretty annoying

I am required to provide a negative test to travel into Jamaica next week. If me or any of my family test positive with no symptoms and can’t go I’m gonna be pissed

 

[CU Alumnus]

1170 cases yesterday with a 15.6% positive rate.

Those are the lowest numbers we have had in quite some time and the cases have slowly declined over the last two weeks.

The spiking death rate should start to decline as well over the next two weeks.

Small victory and we aren't out of the woods by any stretch of the imagination but it looks more positive than 3 or 4 weeks ago.

Trends are also pointing downward in other states that got clobbered right after Memorial Day.

Let's hope the cases, hospitalizations and deaths continue to decline and stabilize.

We need something. We have GOT to get the schools open at least for elementary and middle school kids.

No school and few other interactions is starting to have a negative affect on my son. That and the fact he didn't learn a damn thing the last quarter. I'm getting worried honestly.

I don't even GAF about football at this point. But we've got to do something to get some normalcy back.

Or to mention, with or without symptoms, places that get it are going to see rapid positive growth. Most I know tested positive because they were required to take the test yet as no symptoms.

Look at the Clemson football team. What was the final number? 32 positives?

Assisted Livings had high positive rates in the early go of this thing. It’s pretty annoying

I am required to provide a negative test to travel into Jamaica next week. If me or any of my family test positive with no symptoms and can’t go I’m gonna be pissed

Well - NY was stuffing COVID patients into nursing homes. Meanwhile a 1000-bed floating hospital comes into New York harbor and they can't figure out what to do with it....

All while they're bitching about Samaritan's Purse trying to help people.

Sorry - just generally pissed off this morning.

 

[nmerritt11]

We need something. We have GOT to get the schools open at least for elementary and middle school kids.

No school and few other interactions is starting to have a negative affect on my son. That and the fact he didn't learn a damn thing the last quarter. I'm getting worried honestly.

I don't even GAF about football at this point. But we've got to do something to get some normalcy back.



Well - NY was stuffing COVID patients into nursing homes. Meanwhile a 1000-bed floating hospital comes into New York harbor and they can't figure out what to do with it....

All while they're bitching about Samaritan's Purse trying to help people.

Sorry - just generally pissed off this morning.

Yep and I was on a call in February where the HHS and CMS clearly stated you could not force skilled facilities or any other referral avenue to take patients that they refused. They attempted to waive the Medicare wait period for facilities to encourage them but they were clear you could not force them to and NY did exactly that

McKesson and Medline were assuring hospitals got almost every bit of PPE available to hospitals. Skilled facilities were not ready to take Covid patients or other high acute level patients because of lack of supplies and lack of qualified staffing

it was a horrible plan