Firstly the results from the Wake game:
Our offense performed just a little better than par. More points, far more 1st downs and about nailed the total yardage. Better than par is what you want to keep an upward trajectory.
This was a huge jump for our defense, however. They crushed expectations based on previous performances. Huge progress here! Gets me excited that maybe we got a chance.... Now, we'll need to string several of these together to transform into a dominant defense per our stats.
Here's the Virginia outlook:
Note that the spreadsheet doesn't like Clemson as much as Vegas does. One indicator when looking at the numbers are the yards vs points allowed. For example, VA has allowed opponents to gain about 30 yards per game more than their averages, yet have held those same opponents more than 4 fewer points per game than their averages. On the other side of the ball, VAs scoring offense is a negative while their total offense is a positive. Very odd team that has maybe suffered/benefited from fluke plays.
The numbers say that Virginia's advantage lies in their rushing attack vs our rush defense. Our offense should be able to stay pretty balanced. I'm of the belief that Klubnik was just a little off last week vs Wake - make a few more of those throws in front of a home crowd and we can cruise - struggle just enough to kill drives and it will make the game closer than we all want it.
This has the potential to be a trap game or even a disappointing (performance) win. If we do as well as Vegas thinks then we'll take another jump in the stats on both sides of the ball.
Our offense performed just a little better than par. More points, far more 1st downs and about nailed the total yardage. Better than par is what you want to keep an upward trajectory.
This was a huge jump for our defense, however. They crushed expectations based on previous performances. Huge progress here! Gets me excited that maybe we got a chance.... Now, we'll need to string several of these together to transform into a dominant defense per our stats.
Here's the Virginia outlook:
Note that the spreadsheet doesn't like Clemson as much as Vegas does. One indicator when looking at the numbers are the yards vs points allowed. For example, VA has allowed opponents to gain about 30 yards per game more than their averages, yet have held those same opponents more than 4 fewer points per game than their averages. On the other side of the ball, VAs scoring offense is a negative while their total offense is a positive. Very odd team that has maybe suffered/benefited from fluke plays.
The numbers say that Virginia's advantage lies in their rushing attack vs our rush defense. Our offense should be able to stay pretty balanced. I'm of the belief that Klubnik was just a little off last week vs Wake - make a few more of those throws in front of a home crowd and we can cruise - struggle just enough to kill drives and it will make the game closer than we all want it.
This has the potential to be a trap game or even a disappointing (performance) win. If we do as well as Vegas thinks then we'll take another jump in the stats on both sides of the ball.
