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Trump ran up national debt twice as much as Biden

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Trump ran up national debt twice as much as Biden: new analysis​

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New ten-year borrowing by presidential term​

As of June 21, 2024

Non-
COVID relief

COVID
relief
Trump
$8.4t
$4.8t
3.6t
Biden
$4.3t
2.2t
2.1t

Data: Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget; Chart: Axios Visuals
Former President Trump ran up the national debt by about twice as much as President Biden, according to a new analysis of their fiscal track records.
Why it matters: The winner of November's election faces a gloomy fiscal outlook, with rapidly rising debt levels at a time when interest rates are already high and demographic pressure on retirement programs is rising.
  • Both candidates bear a share of the responsibility, as each added trillions to that tally while in office.
  • But Trump's contribution was significantly higher, according to the fiscal watchdogs at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, thanks to both tax cuts and spending deals struck in his four years in the White House.
By the numbers: Trump added $8.4 trillion in borrowing over a ten-year window, CRFB finds in a report out this morning.
  • Biden's figure clocks in at $4.3 trillion with seven months remaining in his term.
  • If you exclude COVID relief spending from the tally, the numbers are $4.8 trillion for Trump and $2.2 trillion for Biden.
State of play: For Trump, the biggest non-COVID drivers of higher public debt were his signature tax cuts enacted in 2017 (causing $1.9 trillion in additional borrowing) and bipartisan spending packages (which added $2.1 trillion).
  • For Biden, major non-COVID factors include 2022 and 2023 spending bills ($1.4 trillion), student debt relief ($620 billion), and legislation to support health care for veterans ($520 billion).
  • Biden deficits have also swelled, according to CRFB's analysis, due to executive actions that changed the way food stamp benefits are calculated, expanding Medicaid benefits, and other changes that total $548 billion.
Between the lines: Deficit politics may return to the forefront of U.S. policy debates next year.
  • Much of Trump's tax law is set to expire at the end of 2025, and the CBO has estimated that fully extending it would increase deficits by $4.6 trillion over the next decade.

  • High interest rates make the taxpayer burden of both existing and new debt higher than it was during the era of near-zero interest rates.
  • And the Social Security trust fund is rapidly hurtling toward depletion in 2033, which would trigger huge cuts in the retirement benefits absent Congressional action.
What they're saying: "The next president will face huge fiscal challenges," CRFB president Maya MacGuineas tells Axios.
  • "Yet both candidates have track records of approving trillions in new borrowing even setting aside the justified borrowing for COVID, and neither has proposed a comprehensive and credible plan to get the debt under control," she said.
  • "No president is fully responsible for the fiscal challenges that come along, but they need to use the bully pulpit to set the stage for making some hard choices," Ma
 
"Sixteen Nobel prize-winning economists are jumping into the presidential campaign with a stark warning: Former President Trump's plans would reignite inflation and cause lasting harm to the global economy if he wins in November.

Why it matters: The Nobel laureates are lending their academic prestige to a political argument the Biden administration has been making for weeks: Inflation would be worse under Trump."

  • "While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we all agree that Joe Biden's economic agenda is vastly superior to Donald Trump," the 16 economists write in a letter, first obtained by Axios.
 
I believe it. Along with many other things, here are a few of my grievances with Trump regarding the deficit/spending/etc:
  • He did not aggressively reduce federal spending. He's not a fiscal hawk, which is what we need.
  • He advocated for MORE stimulus as he was leaving office and had to be reigned in by Republican leadership.
  • He did not ensure adequate protections to accompany the corporate tax rate reductions. This resulted in things like stock buy-backs vs. consumer cost reductions.
Trump isn't a good candidate for a lot of reasons. Really wish we had better options.
 
I believe it. Along with many other things, here are a few of my grievances with Trump regarding the deficit/spending/etc:
  • He did not aggressively reduce federal spending. He's not a fiscal hawk, which is what we need.
  • He advocated for MORE stimulus as he was leaving office and had to be reigned in by Republican leadership.
  • He did not ensure adequate protections to accompany the corporate tax rate reductions. This resulted in things like stock buy-backs vs. consumer cost reductions.
Trump isn't a good candidate for a lot of reasons. Really wish we had better options.

There have been several former Trump people that claimed they counseled him on all of those points and his response was “who cares it will be someone else’s problem”. The guy only cares about himself.
 
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"Sixteen Nobel prize-winning economists are jumping into the presidential campaign with a stark warning: Former President Trump's plans would reignite inflation and cause lasting harm to the global economy if he wins in November.

Why it matters: The Nobel laureates are lending their academic prestige to a political argument the Biden administration has been making for weeks: Inflation would be worse under Trump."

  • "While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we all agree that Joe Biden's economic agenda is vastly superior to Donald Trump," the 16 economists write in a letter, first obtained by Axios.
Ha! I was coming here to post this.
 
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