We know either Bama or Georgia are in.
We can assume, I think, that the Big 10 will get someone in, unless something fluky happens and both Penn State and Ohio State get a second loss somewhere.
The Pac 12 is out. I think if one of TCU/Ok/OK State can finish with one loss, they'll be in. I think that'll be Oklahoma.
So aside from the ever-present fear of an SEC bias, where both Bama AND UGA get in, the biggest obstacle is a one-loss Notre Dame team eating up the final spot.
We can assume, I think, that the Big 10 will get someone in, unless something fluky happens and both Penn State and Ohio State get a second loss somewhere.
The Pac 12 is out. I think if one of TCU/Ok/OK State can finish with one loss, they'll be in. I think that'll be Oklahoma.
So aside from the ever-present fear of an SEC bias, where both Bama AND UGA get in, the biggest obstacle is a one-loss Notre Dame team eating up the final spot.