Sorry I could only like once.Poll is lacking-“ Not America “ as the proper answer
exactly ... not many people will be able to seperate the questions of "Who do you want to win?" and "Who do you think will win?"This board probably isn’t heavy Biden
exactly ... not many people will be able to seperate the questions of "Who do you want to win?" and "Who do you think will win?"
I think Biden will win ... BUT I have no idea who I "want" to win. Trump, in this current environment worries me BUT the far left of the Dem party worries me just as much if not more. For me, its like trying to make a decision on what do I want to eat first ... my side order of fecal fries or take a bite of my shit sandwich.
Better to have the devil you know than the devil you don't.exactly ... not many people will be able to seperate the questions of "Who do you want to win?" and "Who do you think will win?"
I think Biden will win ... BUT I have no idea who I "want" to win. Trump, in this current environment worries me BUT the far left of the Dem party worries me just as much if not more. For me, its like trying to make a decision on what do I want to eat first ... my side order of fecal fries or take a bite of my shit sandwich.
Staffers have told him several times. He just smiles, says, "That's nice." and goes back to sleep.Does Biden know he’s running for President ?
Odds are like you say. I’ve been interested to watch the voting registrations in those battle states. Republicans are registering 2-1 currently.Logically, Biden is the favorite. The reason for this is that the President (really any Republican, but this one in particular) has an extremely narrow “path to victory” and small margin of error. He effectively has to win ALL of the major swing states in order to win the Presidency. He can maybe lose one of them - 2 if its smaller states - and that’s very difficult to to do. He managed to do it in 2016 by winning several states that had gone Democrat over the last several election cycles.
Certainly it could happen again. Conservatives are vastly under represented in polling and Biden’s lead isn’t as big as Democrats think it is. But Biden is also more likeable (not to many here, I know) than Hillary and there seem to be less “undecideds” than there were in 2016. The Democrats are also taking a slightly better tact than they did last time, where Biden didn’t mention The President by name a single time in his convention speech, whereas Hillary focused much of her campaign almost entirely on Trump negatives, which turned out to be a bad miscalculation.
This election will, again, very likely come down to some close races in a handful of states, and since the President has to win pretty much every single one of those, it puts the odds in Biden’s favor.
Odds are like you say. I’ve been interested to watch the voting registrations in those battle states. Republicans are registering 2-1 currently.
most democrats I’ve talked to have admitted that trump is the lesser of two evils. They don’t know if they will go vote, but they for sure won’t vote for the socialist ticket. They really wish they had a Democrat to vote for.
Pretty much my take. Believe Biden will get PA and that might be all he needs. VA likely too.Logically, Biden is the favorite. The reason for this is that the President (really any Republican, but this one in particular) has an extremely narrow “path to victory” and small margin of error. He effectively has to win ALL of the major swing states in order to win the Presidency. He can maybe lose one of them - 2 if its smaller states - and that’s very difficult to to do. He managed to do it in 2016 by winning several states that had gone Democrat over the last several election cycles.
Certainly it could happen again. Conservatives are vastly under represented in polling and Biden’s lead isn’t as big as Democrats think it is. But Biden is also more likeable (not to many here, I know) than Hillary and there seem to be less “undecideds” than there were in 2016. The Democrats are also taking a slightly better tact than they did last time, where Biden didn’t mention The President by name a single time in his convention speech, whereas Hillary focused much of her campaign almost entirely on Trump negatives, which turned out to be a bad miscalculation.
This election will, again, very likely come down to some close races in a handful of states, and since the President has to win pretty much every single one of those, it puts the odds in Biden’s favor.
It’s interesting to me what gets called socialism these days. Biden has moved left to try and absorb some of those Bernie supporters, but socialism? No. You’re talking about a 2.6% increase in the top income bracket for FICA.Odds are like you say. I’ve been interested to watch the voting registrations in those battle states. Republicans are registering 2-1 currently.
most democrats I’ve talked to have admitted that trump is the lesser of two evils. They don’t know if they will go vote, but they for sure won’t vote for the socialist ticket. They really wish they had a Democrat to vote for.
Logically, Biden is the favorite. The reason for this is that the President (really any Republican, but this one in particular) has an extremely narrow “path to victory” and small margin of error. He effectively has to win ALL of the major swing states in order to win the Presidency. He can maybe lose one of them - 2 if its smaller states - and that’s very difficult to to do. He managed to do it in 2016 by winning several states that had gone Democrat over the last several election cycles.
Certainly it could happen again. Conservatives are vastly under represented in polling and Biden’s lead isn’t as big as Democrats think it is. But Biden is also more likeable (not to many here, I know) than Hillary and there seem to be less “undecideds” than there were in 2016. The Democrats are also taking a slightly better tact than they did last time, where Biden didn’t mention The President by name a single time in his convention speech, whereas Hillary focused much of her campaign almost entirely on Trump negatives, which turned out to be a bad miscalculation.
This election will, again, very likely come down to some close races in a handful of states, and since the President has to win pretty much every single one of those, it puts the odds in Biden’s favor.
Pretty much my take. Believe Biden will get PA and that might be all he needs. VA likely too.
FL probably still Trump. Other purple southern and Midwest states who knows.
Just an FYI these are two completely opposite political ideologies.Fascist/Marxist
Lol, I love how people just make shit up---or have no understanding of history.Just an FYI these are two completely opposite political ideologies.
That's because they force them to pick a party. In fact, they make the sign... remember?I do not see the independent candidate? Can we just start over?
The stunner for me was Trump turning PA-MI-WI which have been pretty solid blue for a while
Because none of those 3 states had gone republican since 1988 and they really weren’t very close in 2012. Obama won Michigan by 10 points in 2012.why is that hard to believe
did you listen to trumps message?
it was right in their wheelhouse
Here are the EC maps for the last 2 cycles. The stunner for me was Trump turning PA-MI-WI which have been pretty solid blue for a while. Obviously if Biden turns those 3 back he wins. Any 2 of PA, OH, or FL wins. If he can turn back NC then he doesn’t really need MI or WI.
Some polls have suggested GA is close, but GA has polled close the last few cycles but has remained solid red and I don’t expect that to change. Dems were also excited about polling in Texas but it’s laughable to think Biden wins there.
I don’t personally believe that the President can flip any states that he lost in 2016. Biden only needs to flip 2 or 3 depending on which ones they are. I think that PA-MI-WI trio will be very difficult for the President to hold onto. But if he can hold 1 of them he can win just by skin of his teeth.
I agree that FL stays red, but Ohio...who knows.
I think the biggest issue facing the Democrats is that, as in 2016, they have less enthusiasm for their candidate than Republican voters have for Trump. I think Biden picked Harris to try to jump start some excitement among Dem voters, but people generally don’t vote for VP, they vote for President.
One thing remains true about voters - they are more motivated to vote FOR someone than they are AGAINST someone. I don’t know if enough Democrats are excited to vote for Biden or if the dislike for the President has reached a point where they can overcome that lack of enthusiasm. Anti-Trump wasn’t enough in 2016.
Because none of those 3 states had gone republican since 1988 and they really weren’t very close in 2012. Obama won Michigan by 10 points in 2012.
Pretty much my take. Believe Biden will get PA and that might be all he needs. VA likely too.
FL probably still Trump. Other purple southern and Midwest states who knows.
FTR i hope Biden wins but i just don’t see it happeningexactly ... not many people will be able to seperate the questions of "Who do you want to win?" and "Who do you think will win?"
I think Biden will win ... BUT I have no idea who I "want" to win. Trump, in this current environment worries me BUT the far left of the Dem party worries me just as much if not more. For me, its like trying to make a decision on what do I want to eat first ... my side order of fecal fries or take a bite of my shit sandwich.
FTR i hope Biden wins but i just don’t see it happening
I hope you’re right, for everyone’s sake! Even for the people voting to put us & themselves in Bondage!let me put it this way if i was the running the campaign which is probably close to actually what they do
step 1- trump will win all states he won in 2016
then
the states that clinton won broken down into their pods
washington
oregon
california
nevada
80 total votes
colorado
newmexico
14 total votes
minnesota
illinois
30 total votes
dc
de
md
nj
ct
rd
41 total votes
ny
va
42 total votes
vt
nh
me
11 total votes
so 232 votes in play
out in the west pod with 80 votes, these riots have upset the independent voters and the lack of response by democratic leaders have destroyed their faith in the party. trash collects up daily on the sidewalks, riots all nite, small petty crimes all day.
i dont see anyone on the democrats side who can pull the party together in california. kamal has her base, but she needed the governor. he is trapped up in a tax scandal so his support is gone. then who- schiff or pelosi
app calls an upset california goes to trump.
the people of nevada love a good gamble. they are too smart to pick biden. they are thinking if i wanna guy sitting at my table helping me with the cards, i want trump. trump takes nevada
looking at washington and oregon. wow. the gov of washington and gov of oregon have been wrapped up in forest fires and figuring out how to pay unemployment as they tell their workers to stay home. workers need money to pay bills. something has to give. small business owners and residents of the 2 largest cities in those 2 states say they have given up on the democrats
i see both to trump or at least a split.
minnesota and illinios i will give to biden. not even going to argue. i heard omar is hot in minnesota. thats disgusting.
and for illinois. thats my surprise pick if there is one for trump. i was impressed with the change in tone of the mayor and many of the alderman around the city. many are begging the white house for help. the mayor still has along way to go, but she knows her policies are wrong, she is in denial stage. but i could see trump winning here
ny and va
those 2 are going to trump this cycle in landslides. clintons name is now dirt. the whole fbi apparatus and fellow former obama officials have lost all credibility in their neighborhoods. the mayor of ny is an imbecile.
trump in a landslide
dc and the other little pucks
screw them. i wouldnt even advertise in that pod. only 41 votes and a cesspoll of shyt
now vermont hew hampshire and maine
i could see trump taking maine. the somalias are straining the city now and the independents have seen enough of the open checkbook policy the democrats in maine push
but i vermont staying blue
new hampshire a toss up
so that is a
LANDSLIDE