Des Moines Iowa Register Poll off 17 points

[PalmettoTiger1]

Talk about being close in horseshoes and grenades

Kamala up 4 Trump wins by 13

Who's your daddy

 

[0BB]

They really wanted you to believe that traditionally Republican women were going to rush to the polls and vote for their grandchildren to be able to get abortions.

Lol.

Libs are dumb.

 

[PalmettoTiger1]

They really wanted you to believe that traditionally Republican women were going to rush to the polls and vote for their grandchildren to be able to get abortions.

Lol.

Libs are dumb.

I see the polls more as lies to try to impact elections

News is being used as propaganda instead of reporting

 

[dbjork6317]

Talk about being close in horseshoes and grenades

Kamala up 4 Trump wins by 13

Who's your daddy

Yeah I’d say that pollster’s career is toast.

 

[gcsoccer16]

Tough look for that pollster. Hope to see them again in 2028!

 

[TooterTownTiger]

Women are more concerned about getting raped and murdered by illegals than getting abortions.

 

[castlesl]

Yeah I’d say that pollster’s career is toast.

which is interesting b/c reportedly she is well respected by both sides as caring more about accuracy than an agenda.

 

[loveoysters]

Yeah I’d say that pollster’s career is toast.

She was retiring, I think she did the poll hoping to get a future gig on MSNBC or CNN. This poll was obviously false, I watched her on a webcast with Mark Halperin and she was completely obnoxious. She refused to provide cross tabs and she is an embarrassment.

 

[dbjork6317]

which is interesting b/c reportedly she is well respected by both sides as caring more about accuracy than an agenda.

Yeah she had been correct as an outlier in 2020, predicting Trump had a bigger lead there than others had and she was correct. So I think the thought process was even if she was wrong, it’d be unlikley that she would be THIS wrong. And the early returns last night in Indiana and Ohio seemed to show Harris reporting favorably, which seemed to give some credence to the Iowa poll given similar voting bases. But, yeah, that didn’t quite pan out.

 

[castlesl]

Yeah she had been correct as an outlier in 2020, predicting Trump had a bigger lead there than others had and she was correct. So I think the thought process was even if she was wrong, it’d be unlikley that she would be THIS wrong. And the early returns last night in Indiana and Ohio seemed to show Harris reporting favorably, which seemed to give some credence to the Iowa poll given similar voting bases. But, yeah, that didn’t quite pan out.

There is a lot of assumption and calculation involved with the science of prediction and modeling for politics, I won't pretend to grasp most of it. However, there were republican strategist and analysts predicting the results from last night as early as last Monday, so I am curious how two different sets of eyes can view, what i assume is the same, data this differently.

Maybe it really isn't the same data.