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How much do Governor races effect Presidential votes?

yoshi121374

The Jack Dunlap Club
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Jan 26, 2006
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Williamston,SC
Mainly wondering about North Carolina. The Republican looks to be trailing by 10 points in the most recent polls I've seen. That guy is a big Trumper and Trump anointed. Could that impact the Presidential race? It seems like every election we watch to see dif this is the cycle that puts North Carolina in play.
 
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Mainly wondering about North Carolina. The Republican looks to be trailing by 10 points in the most recent polls I've seen. That guy is a big Trumper and Trump anointed. Could that impact the Presidential race? It seems like every election we watch to see dif this is the cycle that puts North Carolina in play.
You would think it would, especially this cycle where I can imagine a lot of people being driven to vote by Robinson's radical statements, but to this point, it hasn't shown in the betting markets, in fact, NC looks to be the most solid R of all the swing states. The polls have also shown Trump with a 2 -4 point lead until the most recent one, that shows them even, and YouGov is considered a high quality pollster :cool: I still think Trump wins it but I'm not counting Kamala out the way she's been surging.

Aug. 5-9802RVYouGov BlueCarolina ForwardHarris46%46%TrumpMoreEven
 
Mainly wondering about North Carolina. The Republican looks to be trailing by 10 points in the most recent polls I've seen. That guy is a big Trumper and Trump anointed. Could that impact the Presidential race? It seems like every election we watch to see dif this is the cycle that puts North Carolina in play.
I think it will this time in North Carolina. I believe she's going to win NC specifically because of this lunatic running as a republican. Typically I don't think it would, but Mark Robinson makes Mike Flynn look like a trans furry Hamas sympathizer.

She will campaign in NC believing it can be won, and I highly doubt she would if the Rs were running a serious candidate.
 
I think it will this time in North Carolina. I believe she's going to win NC specifically because of this lunatic running as a republican. Typically I don't think it would, but Mark Robinson makes Mike Flynn look like a trans furry Hamas sympathizer.

She will campaign in NC believing it can be won, and I highly doubt she would if the Rs were running a serious candidate.

Robinson is a nut job. I get the ads down here in South Carolina so I've seen them. The Dem seems that he running a very smart campaign so far. He also seems far,far more normal than Robinson.

At some point the Republicans are going to realize that having DJT endorse someone is a losing proposition. He doesn't have a great track record.
 
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Robinson is a nut job. I get the ads down here in South Ctso I've seen them. The Dem seems that he running a very smart campaign so far. He also seems far,far more normal than Robinson.

At some point the Republicans are going to realize that having DJT endorse someone is a losing proposition. He doesn't have a great track record.
He's also extraordinarily dangerous.
 
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I don't know that the Presidential race has that much effect.

Take Ga for instance. Trump ABSOLUTELY HATES Kemp. But Kemp was reelected by 50K+ votes over the Dem contender. One would think that with the fallout with Trump that the Dems would win this one easily, but not so much.
 
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I don't know that the Presidential race has that much effect.

Take Ga for instance. Trump ABSOLUTELY HATES Kemp. But Kemp was reelected by 50K+ votes over the Dem contender. One would think that with the fallout with Trump that the Dems would win this one easily, but not so much.
He's just talking about North Carolina specifically. Plus, Georgia went red last time?
 
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He's just talking about North Carolina specifically. Plus, Georgia went red last time?

I really mentioned NC since the Public candidate was a Trump supporter, We all know how Trump feels about Kemp.

I do wonder why Kemp hasn't been an example for other Pubs on how to navigate Trump.
 
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Will Robinson be on stage with Trump this week in NC? Hope so.

As for gubernatorial races and presidential races, on the whole it is difficult to measure the correlation because almost every state puts its gubernatorial elections in the cycle when the presidential race is not on the ballot. And two states, NJ and Va, have their gubernatorial races in the odd year following the presidential election.

I hope you are right though that voters will select the D in both the gubernatorial and presidential race. I mean how many voters will say, "Robinson is a nightmare but Trump is brilliant?"
 
Will Robinson be on stage with Trump this week in NC? Hope so.

As for gubernatorial races and presidential races, on the whole it is difficult to measure the correlation because almost every state puts its gubernatorial elections in the cycle when the presidential race is not on the ballot. And two states, NJ and Va, have their gubernatorial races in the odd year following the presidential election.

I hope you are right though that voters will select the D in both the gubernatorial and presidential race. I mean how many voters will say, "Robinson is a nightmare but Trump is brilliant?"


In Asheville 🤣 NC is going blue.
 
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