Well this is specifically among younger voters. A lot of them were in HS (or younger) when Access Hollywood broke in 2016. While Hillary is arguably better than Kamala in terms of career accomplishments (though I would say not by that much), she was an historically unpopular candidate. People didn't like her. And Access Hollywood was hurting Trump but then the Comey Letter dropped right before the election and that sunk her
You think more highly of young twenty-somethings than I do. I just don't see them caring as much about those things at that age.
That’s what I look for in a presidential candidate, good trolling. What has the republican party become?
Stop for a minute and give the dude credit for his epic troll. And you can go back to hating him. No one will think any less of you.
I've heard the garbage truck thing is actually not working in his favor but depends on the source probably
Could you elaborate on the poor jobs numbers? All I have seen is that the job numbers are relatively good and the most recent one was strong. Could be wrong though.
It was funny. What's ironic is it doesn't really matter what you look for in a presidential candidate. Your party didn't even allow you a say or a vote. They just anoint the person.
Here it is on Guardian of all places:
Don't be so quick to suspend disbelief. The Presidential election on Polymarket is at $2,893,497,481. If four whales make up 25% as the X post claims, then that's over 700 million. The guy being quoted said he wagered 30M...which is just 1% of the almost $2.9 billion on polymarket.
| 9:10 AM Thurs | | 10:38 PM Fri | |
| Trump | Harris | Trump | Harris |
BetOnline | 65.5 | 37.7 | 61.5 | 42.6 |
Betfair | 62.9 | 37.3 | 60.2 | 40.0 |
Betsson | 66.7 | 38.5 | 62.5 | 41.7 |
Bovada | 66.7 | 37.0 | 62.3 | 42.6 |
Bwin | 66.7 | 38.5 | 62.3 | 42.0 |
Points Bet | 65.4 | 40.0 | 64.5 | 40.8 |
Polymarket | 65.0 | 34.9 | 58.1 | 41.5 |
Smarkets | 61.7 | 38.2 | 58.1 | 41.3 |
Average | 65.1 | 37.8 | 61.2 | 41.6 |
And put him against 93 Trump. I would take Trump in that contest.
Correct. Dems got routed in the mid terms by Newt Gingrich and his contract with America and Clinton appeared dead in the water. He then turned hard conservative and won another term.
Yeah, wow. I didn't recall that
| 9:10 AM Thurs | | 3:45 PM Sat | |
| Trump | Harris | Trump | Harris |
BetOnline | 65.5 | 37.7 | 61.5 | 42.6 |
Betfair | 62.9 | 37.3 | 60.6 | 39.7 |
Betsson | 66.7 | 38.5 | 62.5 | 41.7 |
Bovada | 66.7 | 37.0 | 61.5 | 43.5 |
Bwin | 66.7 | 38.5 | 60.0 | 44.4 |
Points Bet | 65.4 | 40.0 | 62.5 | 42.6 |
Polymarket | 65.0 | 34.9 | 58.5 | 41.6 |
Smarkets | 61.7 | 38.2 | 59.5 | 41.0 |
Average | 65.1 | 37.8 | 60.8 | 42.1 |
With them sitting just shy of $3 billion in total volume, there is less than 0.05% of the world population capable of manipulating that betting market.
Get a load of the MOE!!! +/- 9.1 pts? And we (and the pollsters) already know the Dems are leading the early vote in PA. What is remarkable is how much of the EV has gone to the R's. They've never sniffed 40% (or is it 50 with that MOE?) in any of the recent elections.
I guess it depends on how you look at it. Trump was dead and buried in September...particularly after Harris surprised everyone in her debate performance. That Trump has tightened things up to the degree that he apparently has, and to even have a sub MOE lead in PA and to be within MOE of Mich and Wisky is just wild. Sure, we can nitpick the methodologies, but these same methodologies had Harris up in September and they largely do not now.
There are plenty of national Repubs that have thrown their hat in for her and you'd think that would be representative of center right Republicans in the general population as well. One of my repub friends says he'll never vote for Trump again - didn't say he'd vote for Harris but that's my personal anecdotal evidence that some have jumped ship.
