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OT: Keep an eye on India-Pakistan situation

Spencer_York

The Jack Dunlap Club
Gold Member
Dec 7, 2021
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Mods, feel free to move this to the politics board if you think it is better placed there (but I'll try to keep this as apolitical as possible).

If you haven't seen, there was a terrorist attack in Kashmir (technically the region is known as Jammu and Kashmir) in India yesterday which killed 26 Indian tourists. India is doing a lot of saber-rattling right now and taking aggressive steps towards Pakistan. India is currently blaming Pakistan for financing/support the group (The Resistance Front (TRF)) which claimed responsibility for the attack. As you know, India and Pakistan have deep seated animosity going back to the 1940s and the partition/independence of India from the British Empire. Kashmir has been a main point of contention.

India is taking a number of steps that are highly aggressive:
-Barring Pakistani nationals from entering India
-Closed the Attari border checkpoint
-Suspending the Indus Waters Treaty, which means a huge chunk of Pakistan's water supply will be cut off
-Kicking out Pakistani military advisors
-Withdrawing Indian military advisors from Pakistan
-Deploying soldiers to Kashmir
-Potentially kicking out all Pakistani diplomats

There is a chance that this spills into a hot war, and need I remind you that both nations have nuclear weapons.

I am skeptical that this will be resolved easily. The Anglophone world seems to be ignoring this. The current US administration has significantly scaled down or outright eliminated the South Asia department within the State Department. (I believe in one of the leaked Signal chats the VP showed pretty much 0 interest in this). The Department of Defense is in absolute chaos right now. The president and vice president may not be the most neutral arbiters in this, as they have been friendly with Modi. Modi's party, BJP, is very anti-Muslim and they will be howling for blood. The Director of National Intelligence has strong ties (and maybe was even in) a Hindutva group. Who is going to be a realistic check on this?

Anyway, this is a big deal and has the potential to be an even bigger deal.
 
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