Trump will carry most of the south. No doubt of that. The problem is the swing states. Red states will vote red. Blue states will vote blue. It always comes down to the 'swing" states. FYI: Trump is down double digits in most of the swing states. At this point against Clinton, he was down 3.5 points. I'm not saying Biden will win. But, without a doubt Trump is in trouble...and he knows it. And all the Republicans in Washington know it. Biden's choice of running mate will be key. It will be far more important than in most presidential races.