I will apologize in advance especially to
@castlesl - not been 100% health wise and didn’t finish what I started on the proposed closing
my money is on a hung jury
If convicted, it will be because of 100 years of being a Murdaugh caught up with him and jurors saw through it - this shouldn’t happen (Netflix effect) - but maybe the BS got so deep the jury let’s him drown in it
No apology needed.
The likelihood of a hung jury is certainly there, no question. LE has been roundly skewered over the course of this case, much of that is certainly warranted, I don’t think all of it is. Had they done a better job, I would have a different opinion of the likely outcome.
I would say it is less than 5% chance of acquittal, 55% hung jury 45% guilty.
The reason I don’t have hung jury higher, and guilty as high as I do, is I believe there will be quite a bit of pressure to get to a verdict. The judge doesn’t want a hung jury and he will press them to deliver something unanimous. How hard does he push them?
As many have said, it only takes one to hang up the jury, but I suspect the pressure from the majority will be big in this deliberation as well. Clearly I am assuming the majority is sitting on guilty.
There is nothing particularly redeeming about Alex at this stage of the trial, I doubt anyone thinks he is innocent, like no question he didn’t do it innocent. My bet is about 3 that have doubts enough to start at not guilty.
Those that have doubts would probably tell you they think he did it there just not sure the evidence is there to get past reasonable doubt. Those folks are vulnerable to being flipped as time drags on and other jurors have a chance to challenge one another and have an open discussion about the facts, some of them probably move towards guilty. They may not all get there.
I agree, Alex being a Murdaugh at this moment likely hurts him.
Also - Poot rubs me the wrong way, he screams smug and entitled, somewhat like a Murdaugh. Jim is much more likable. I could see Poot pissing off some of the jury during closing.